Cuarto “strike” en Cambio Climático

Un “Espacio Climático” para repensar análisis y estrategias 

Pablo Solon *

En el béisbol cuando uno tiene 3 “strikes” está fuera. En las negociaciones sobre  cambio climático ya suman 4 fracasos: Copenhague, Cancún, Durban y ahora Doha. Cuatro Conferencias de las Naciones Unidas y cada una fue peor que la anterior. Su principal objetivo era acordar las reducciones de emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero hasta el año 2020. Estas debieron ser de 40 a 50% tomando el nivel de emisiones del año 1990. Sin embargo, después de cuatro intentos, son de apenas 13 a 18%. Ahora estamos en camino a un aumento mundial de la temperatura de 4 y 8ºC.

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Strike Four in Climate Change

A “Climate Space” to rethink analysis and strategies

Pablo Solon*

In baseball, when you have 3 strikes, you are out. In the climate change negotiations we already have 4 strikes. Copenhagen, Cancun, Durban and now Doha. Four attempts and each of the results were bigger failures than the last. The emission reductions should have been at least 40 to 50% until 2020 based on 1990 levels. Four COPs later, the current numbers are down to a measly 13 to 18%. We are now well on our way to a global temperature increase of 4 to 8ºC.

Climate Change: We need to guarantee the right to not migrate

Pablo Solon

Climate related events have always been a cause for migration in the history of humanity. This was the story of Egypt, Mesopotamia and other ancient societies. But in modern times the scale has been unprecedented. In 1995 there were at least 25 million climate refugees. Only 15 years later, in 2010, 50 million were displaced. In 2050 the estimations are between 200 million to one billion people that can be forced to migrate.